Extra-Small-Caftan
0x126d8007c5facabe83dc4dc32e11f6d47f8ef863
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-24.39
Realised
$-7.76
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
250 shares @ 72.4¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$162.50
$-18.50
- NO
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
172 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$149.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?
135 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$133.48
$3.71
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
120 shares @ 35.4¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$93.60
$51.10
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
105 shares @ 66.6¢·now 88.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$93.18
$23.18
- NO
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
79 shares @ 95.9¢·now 92.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.55
$-2.50
- YES
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
55 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$55.28
$0.28
- NO
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?
43 shares @ 93.2¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$42.26
$2.26
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
104 shares @ 53.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$35.79
$-19.21
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?
35 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$35.16
$0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$56.03May 16, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$55.01May 14, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$5.00May 14, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?$2.09May 14, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?$4.19May 14, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$30.00May 14, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Risk It All - Bruno Mars" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$30.00May 14, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?$35.02May 14, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Potential - sombr" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$250.25May 14, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?$40.14May 14, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlorentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?$150.58May 14, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$18.26May 14, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$20.66May 14, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?$30.84May 14, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?$30.80May 14, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?$30.04May 14, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Adele be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?$20.40May 6, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zendaya wear Roberto Cavalli at the Met Gala?$50.50May 6, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zendaya wear Loewe at the Met Gala?$52.00May 6, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adele be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?$20.02May 4, 11:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $38.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 04:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 12:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".