Watery-Sunglasses
0x2bead482f7515b74d09c8a6ad50aeca4308195f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$27.70
Total PnL
$-30.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
13 shares @ 60.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$7.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
8 shares @ 39.2¢·now 40.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.07
$0.07
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.71
$0.71
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- BOSTON RED SOX
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 6.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
80 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$3.05May 15, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$8.10May 15, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves$2.94May 15, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05May 14, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.05May 14, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.00May 14, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.00May 14, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.04May 14, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.00May 14, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$1.03May 14, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.04May 14, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.00May 14, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.03May 14, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.03May 14, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.04May 14, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves$1.02May 14, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$1.02May 14, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.03May 14, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$1.03May 14, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?$1.00May 14, 23:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 11:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 20:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".