Arid-Province
0x3de69fd6347a62a618656371e30a17b0c490e560
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$-8.0K
Realised
$-3.1K
Win rate
22%
94 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
1253 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$26.91
- YES
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
732 shares @ 28.4¢·now 71.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$519.97
$311.96
- YES
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
256 shares @ 76.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$255.29
$60.97
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
421 shares @ 51.8¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$246.07
$28.12
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
433 shares @ 41.3¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$179.52
$0.71
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1075 shares @ 2.1¢·now 11.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$121.97
$99.70
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
802 shares @ 12.4¢·now 11.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$92.21
$-7.11
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
140 shares @ 62.8¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$81.66
$-6.00
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
227 shares @ 44.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.18
$-31.82
- NO
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
242 shares @ 28.3¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$64.16
$-4.26
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$1.13May 18, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$3.37May 18, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$2.83May 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.72May 18, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.72May 18, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$37.82May 18, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.65May 18, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$3.35May 18, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.23May 18, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?$7.01May 18, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$6.79May 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.65May 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$12.01May 18, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.65May 18, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$3.49May 18, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$3.56May 18, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$0.03May 18, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$0.57May 18, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$3.56May 18, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?$0.25May 18, 08:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 06:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 94 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".