Fair-Apology-Bucket
0x3f48117184db84f7eebb0ac37e730651dfc0e69b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$7.5K
Total PnL
$1.4K
Realised
$149.71
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
2150 shares @ 32.5¢·now 57.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$540.84
- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
1647 shares @ 36.6¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$450.49
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?
2236 shares @ 31.6¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$916.92
$211.21
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
2112 shares @ 31.2¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$718.11
$58.93
- NO
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?
645 shares @ 31.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$506.32
$306.38
- NO
Will Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
1289 shares @ 31.3¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$412.52
$8.38
- NO
Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?
1060 shares @ 30.6¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$349.94
$25.40
- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
2212 shares @ 29.7¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$332.92
$-324.76
- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
2673 shares @ 23.0¢·now 10.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$273.94
$-341.38
- NO
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
1933 shares @ 22.2¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$270.57
$-158.72
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.27May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$50.56May 17, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$82.27May 17, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?$113.17May 17, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$94.40May 17, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$81.50May 17, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$6.57May 17, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$1.46May 17, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$8.60May 17, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$4.23May 17, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$21.25May 17, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$5.29May 17, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$5.29May 17, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$96.48May 17, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$8.99May 17, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$6.13May 17, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$23.11May 17, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$2.62May 17, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$46.01May 17, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$10.12May 17, 01:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $42.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 12:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".