Fair-Record
0x477a7d28ed844984088129207c0afcb2459e2d8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
145
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-90.3K
Realised
$-1.7K
Win rate
72%
39 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 145- NO
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
659 shares @ 18.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$457.63
$339.08
- YES
Epstein client list released by June 30?
13715 shares @ 30.5¢·now 2.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$370.30
$-3.8K
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
386 shares @ 70.6¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$260.55
$-12.13
- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
450 shares @ 30.9¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$258.75
$119.75
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 8.7¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$225.00
$-644.84
- NO
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
244 shares @ 55.1¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$191.58
$56.99
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 24.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$186.49
$-53.50
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
952 shares @ 36.9¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$147.57
$-203.31
- YES
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
1311 shares @ 11.7¢·now 8.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$114.74
$-38.90
- NO
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?
147 shares @ 57.2¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$108.71
$24.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$275.88May 18, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$11.00May 15, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$75.86May 15, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$9.65May 15, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$104.90May 15, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$15.00May 15, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2.0KMay 15, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$17.24May 15, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$71.76May 15, 16:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 8, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $35.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 07:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 39 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".