Delayed-Journalist
0x4918b46cf4b940bd95a8275dd62d4beb28862ec9
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
76
Open notional
$140.49
Total PnL
$-6.12
Realised
$-0.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- NO
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
34 shares @ 14.9¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$7.21
$2.21
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.55
$-0.45
- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 53.9¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?
5 shares @ 81.5¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
7 shares @ 54.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 41.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 47.2¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.82
$0.82
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
11 shares @ 37.5¢·now 35.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.80
$-0.20
- NO
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
8 shares @ 53.3¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.34
$-0.66
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 62.3¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.22
$0.22
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.05May 17, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$2.04May 17, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$2.00May 17, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$2.07May 17, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?$2.06May 17, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?$2.00May 17, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$2.06May 17, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$2.06May 17, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$2.00May 17, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$2.04May 17, 01:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$2.08May 16, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2.04May 16, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$2.04May 16, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2.07May 16, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?$2.00May 16, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$2.05May 16, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.00May 16, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2.04May 16, 13:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".