Rowdy-Tenement
0x510f4963b66b1b18505faab74b0bb943d1dda43c
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-743.44
Realised
$970.35
Win rate
95%
186 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
122 shares @ 93.8¢·now 91.3¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$111.14
$-3.02
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?
89 shares @ 96.1¢·now 96.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$85.70
$0.18
- NO
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
92 shares @ 94.4¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$84.08
$-2.36
- NO
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?
105 shares @ 81.3¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$82.42
$-2.92
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-01 House seat?
80 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$74.84
$-0.34
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
83 shares @ 95.3¢·now 85.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$70.74
$-7.91
- NO
Will Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
69 shares @ 95.2¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$63.97
$-1.48
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
73 shares @ 83.8¢·now 83.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$60.42
$-0.60
- NO
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
62 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$59.16
$-0.43
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
104 shares @ 90.0¢·now 54.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$57.04
$-36.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$1.60May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$0.72May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$0.22May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$0.49May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$10.80May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$1.90May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$9.96May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 2?$29.37May 18, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$11.01May 18, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill White House post 180-199 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.85May 18, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$19.20May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$1.24May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$2.00May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$12.93May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$11.40May 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill White House post 180-199 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$4.59May 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 180-199 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$25.20May 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.76May 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?$26.49May 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?$0.02May 18, 04:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 04:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 186 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".