Giving-Task
0x5c271ab46170c7e42a8334902755aa4495f21555
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$14.1K
Total PnL
$1.6K
Realised
$279.74
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
11001 shares @ 41.6¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.9K
$319.16
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
1975 shares @ 56.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$413.97
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10188 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$922.05
$46.42
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
42151 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$779.78
$12.65
- NO
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
1264 shares @ 50.1¢·now 58.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$732.84
$99.07
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
1122 shares @ 41.4¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$583.42
$119.23
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
892 shares @ 31.6¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$539.86
$257.74
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
1271 shares @ 38.9¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$451.12
$-42.64
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
816 shares @ 64.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$444.92
$-77.28
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
594 shares @ 55.8¢·now 64.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$384.03
$52.86
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$20.18May 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$55.00May 18, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$1.03May 18, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$8.91May 18, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$2.22May 18, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYPep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?$2.82May 18, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYPep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?$2.82May 18, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$18.55May 18, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$5.99May 18, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$20.18May 18, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$4.06May 18, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$17.25May 18, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$42.50May 18, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$15.59May 18, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.11May 18, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$38.24May 18, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYPep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?$5.06May 18, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-17?$137.91May 18, 01:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.19May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-17?$31.53May 17, 23:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $30.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 02:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".