0x628e5c534610bfe44c7850d2f8c068a05b021d80
0x628e5c534610bfe44c7850d2f8c068a05b021d80
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-115.46
Realised
$19.99
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?
428 shares @ 93.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$303.86
$-94.16
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
264 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$230.91
$6.60
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
207 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$203.93
$4.66
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
200 shares @ 79.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$181.00
$21.14
- NO
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?
105 shares @ 94.8¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$103.24
$3.63
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?
57 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$52.89
$-1.15
- YES
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?
113 shares @ 87.9¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$45.68
$-53.46
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
46 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$43.34
$-0.70
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
40 shares @ 91.3¢·now 74.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.78
$-6.66
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.59
$-0.17
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.00May 14, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?$1.55May 14, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLJeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?$9.07May 14, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?$2.84May 14, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.50May 14, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?$1.24May 14, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?$2.03May 14, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?$0.41May 14, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother Elon baby by June 30?$0.52May 14, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$0.25May 14, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?$6.90May 14, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$6.50May 14, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.85May 14, 02:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $3.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".