Pessimistic-Bakeware
0x65abaac57a7095d7f88b073a26b5f8f2f4cb273d
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-203.21
Realised
$124.73
Win rate
56%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
300 shares @ 91.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$262.50
$-10.50
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
200 shares @ 96.0¢·now 93.2¢·exp May 22, 2026$186.30
$-5.70
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
200 shares @ 90.9¢·now 82.4¢·exp May 18, 2026$164.79
$-16.95
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
150 shares @ 95.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$148.49
$5.40
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
126 shares @ 89.4¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$107.79
$-4.91
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
100 shares @ 93.8¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$96.25
$2.40
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
100 shares @ 89.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$82.50
$-6.50
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 74.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$74.40
$-18.60
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
50 shares @ 84.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$49.92
$7.92
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
50 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$45.25
$1.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$10.20May 18, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$11.90May 18, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.50May 18, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$200.00May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.56May 18, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$249.99May 18, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.22May 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$88.00May 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$13.53May 18, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.43May 18, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.34May 18, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.05May 18, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$12.99May 18, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$3.24May 18, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.34May 18, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.01May 18, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$1.55May 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$46.74May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$45.50May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$36.27May 18, 03:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $16.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 17:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".