Silly-Men
0x695c1dbc0cf3d4758c8879ea5139c1615d9310a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
181
Open notional
$10.2K
Total PnL
$4.1K
Realised
$732.58
Win rate
90%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 181- YES
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
1324 shares @ 24.4¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$668.62
$345.21
- NO
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
854 shares @ 25.3¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$657.58
$441.81
- NO
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?
567 shares @ 27.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$379.72
$226.95
- NO
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
438 shares @ 24.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$379.18
$273.24
- NO
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
369 shares @ 27.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$364.02
$264.47
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
434 shares @ 31.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$295.12
$160.41
- NO
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
464 shares @ 10.7¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$290.00
$240.16
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026?
1666 shares @ 6.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$283.22
$183.27
- NO
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
423 shares @ 35.3¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$279.18
$130.03
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
244 shares @ 26.1¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$236.07
$172.44
Recent activity
- REDEEMDid a crypto hedge fund blow up?$506.78May 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYDid a crypto hedge fund blow up?$7.10May 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?$48.42May 18, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$2.36May 18, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.14May 18, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$2.50May 18, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$53.00May 18, 04:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.69May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.85May 18, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump Leave China on May 15?$0.00May 17, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 17, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.00May 17, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$0.00May 17, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$0.00May 17, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?$0.00May 17, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?$0.00May 17, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?$0.00May 17, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?$0.00May 17, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?$0.00May 17, 15:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $28.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 22:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".