Jumbo-Cupcake
0x6b17d237e6b7f74ce8171d6dc68e07bc21c803b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
122
Open notional
$4.0K
Total PnL
$1.3K
Realised
$2.2K
Win rate
60%
77 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 122- YES
Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?
962 shares @ 19.0¢·now 36.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$353.95
$171.21
- YES
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
299 shares @ 88.9¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$267.49
$1.90
- NO
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1000 shares @ 25.1¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$255.07
$3.65
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
308 shares @ 81.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$254.16
$4.63
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
294 shares @ 85.1¢·now 86.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$253.48
$3.38
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
333 shares @ 79.6¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$251.04
$-13.75
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
288 shares @ 86.6¢·now 86.3¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$248.41
$-0.88
- NO
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
237 shares @ 97.4¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$227.82
$-2.69
- NO
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
192 shares @ 95.7¢·now 96.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$185.13
$1.36
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
293 shares @ 48.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$154.04
$13.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$59.41May 18, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$247.68May 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win a trophy this season?$69.50May 18, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win a trophy this season?$82.03May 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.97May 18, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$15.75May 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$24.84May 18, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$9.83May 18, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.63May 18, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$226.09May 18, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$77.75May 18, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$142.63May 18, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMFC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5$0.00May 18, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMFC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Score$0.00May 18, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMFC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5$0.00May 18, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. New York Mets$0.00May 18, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.18May 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$124.57May 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$127.45May 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$0.03May 18, 01:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $48.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 23:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 77 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".