Trivial-Newsstand
0x85d57ae07c1c0cae93f1ed6d05166eff4233bbf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
121
Open notional
$4.7K
Total PnL
$683.60
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
65%
81 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 121- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1249 shares @ 17.2¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$630.76
$415.64
- NO
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
431 shares @ 57.1¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$280.05
$34.07
- NO
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?
256 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$250.50
$0.64
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
284 shares @ 88.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$245.44
$-4.24
- YES
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
1242 shares @ 12.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$229.81
$80.74
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?
632 shares @ 24.3¢·now 31.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$199.12
$45.34
- NO
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?
180 shares @ 94.1¢·now 94.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$170.45
$1.35
- YES
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
1249 shares @ 8.7¢·now 13.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$168.66
$59.92
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
297 shares @ 54.9¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$150.21
$-13.22
- YES
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
300 shares @ 45.7¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$136.47
$-0.58
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.50May 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$0.07May 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$1.04May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$0.21May 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$1.33May 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$0.84May 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$27.36May 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$33.52May 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola case in the US by June 30?$135.16May 18, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$0.02May 18, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$5.04May 18, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola case in the US by June 30?$1.45May 18, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola case in the US by June 30?$1.00May 18, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola case in the US by June 30?$0.13May 18, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$105.38May 18, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola case in the US by June 30?$47.84May 18, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.00May 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$15.55May 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?$0.73May 18, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$4.35May 18, 01:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $12.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 22:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 81 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".