Famous-Sovereignty
0x86aac2dc1708b2b778d4507f9c5ba1058ad32682
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
68
Open notional
$111.22
Total PnL
$-4.07
Realised
$0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
4 shares @ 91.4¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.16
$0.16
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.92
$-0.08
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
3 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp May 22, 2026$3.04
$0.04
- NO
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 88.5¢·now 88.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
3 shares @ 91.9¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.78
$-0.21
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.49
$0.09
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
3 shares @ 72.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.43
$0.43
- NO
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 93.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.39
$0.39
- NO
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.32
$0.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?$1.01May 17, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$0.62May 17, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?$1.01May 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.08May 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$1.00May 16, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavi Hernandez be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?$1.08May 16, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leo Pereira be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$1.00May 16, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leo Pereira be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$1.00May 16, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Mourinho be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?$2.19May 16, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$1.01May 15, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.01May 15, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?$1.00May 15, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?$1.00May 15, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.08May 15, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?$1.00May 15, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?$1.00May 15, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.02May 14, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?$1.03May 14, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$0.00May 14, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$2.00May 14, 14:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 22:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".