Taut-Dogwood
0x8debd189ffd74160f25e367bafaed61a9fea7062
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$28.6K
Total PnL
$278.43
Realised
$223.82
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
6030 shares @ 96.3¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.9K
$90.08
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
4612 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.5K
$36.86
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
2205 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.2K
$29.81
- NO
Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?
2088 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$2.1K
$8.73
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
2038 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.0K
$42.09
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
2000 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.0K
$4.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
1900 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$3.37
- NO
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
1773 shares @ 95.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.7K
$50.58
- NO
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
1646 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.6K
$10.21
- NO
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?
1164 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.2K
$8.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$196.80May 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$135.50May 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$196.60May 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$61.07May 18, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.43May 18, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$190.32May 18, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$4.88May 18, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$97.59May 18, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$97.81May 18, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$17.04May 18, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$86.95May 18, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$10.75May 18, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$197.20May 18, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$195.60May 18, 00:35 UTC
- REWARD$3.33May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$52.67May 17, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$94.00May 17, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$110.85May 17, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$144.73May 17, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$5.00May 17, 19:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $64.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 14:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".