Honest-Branch
0x8f38bd82abdb8fcbdaabb0a996ab306252767af9
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$76.04
Total PnL
$10.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
61 shares @ 1.8¢·now 27.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$16.63
$15.54
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
10 shares @ 74.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.88
$2.47
- YES
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
152 shares @ 1.0¢·now 4.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$6.99
$5.47
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
126 shares @ 0.9¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.60
$3.41
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25 shares @ 7.3¢·now 14.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.51
$1.70
- YES
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
158 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.98
$0.31
- YES
Will Stacy Rogers win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?
40 shares @ 1.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.92
$1.52
- YES
Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
82 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jan 25, 2027$1.86
$1.06
- YES
Will Khalil Rountree Jr. be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
122 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.82
$0.64
- YES
Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
22 shares @ 2.0¢·now 8.2¢·exp Jan 25, 2027$1.79
$1.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 28?$0.00Apr 29, 12:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 28?$4.87Apr 28, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 19?$3.06Apr 20, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 19?$2.94Apr 17, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.52Apr 15, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.06Apr 15, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 13?$1.55Apr 14, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 10?$5.00Apr 11, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Apr 11, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 13?$1.49Apr 10, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$0.44Apr 9, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jenny Costa Honeycutt be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$0.23Apr 9, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marlon Vera be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 9, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marlon Vera be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.05Apr 9, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 10?$4.80Apr 8, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Myers be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$0.10Apr 4, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Myers be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$0.98Apr 4, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Cunningham be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$1.55Apr 4, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Port Vale win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?$0.00Apr 4, 21:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 12:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 12:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".