Flawed-Instruction

• YES

  Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

  769 shares @ 13.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $134.62

  $34.62

• NO

  Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

  163 shares @ 21.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $106.51

  $72.38

• YES

  Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

  83 shares @ 60.3¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 19, 2026

  $69.64

  $19.64

• YES

  Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

  166 shares @ 30.2¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970

  $63.74

  $13.74

• YES

  Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

  114 shares @ 44.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $61.93

  $11.93

• YES

  Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?

  77 shares @ 59.1¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 25, 2026

  $50.67

  $4.96

• YES

  Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

  200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028

  $49.70

  $-0.30

• YES

  Will Starmer say "Jewish" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

  85 shares @ 58.8¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 6, 2026

  $47.23

  $-2.77

• NO

  Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

  384 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $46.13

  $-3.87

• NO

  Will Starmer say "Apologize" or "Apology" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

  63 shares @ 79.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp May 6, 2026

  $43.66

  $-6.34

• YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:16 UTC
• REDEEMWill Keir Starmer say "Housing" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$0.00May 17, 20:28 UTC
• REDEEMWill Powell say "Tariff inflation" during April press conference?$0.00May 17, 20:28 UTC
• REDEEMWill Trump say "Declaration of Independence" during King Charles visit?$0.00May 17, 20:28 UTC
• REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?$0.00May 17, 20:28 UTC
• REDEEMWill UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.9%?$0.00May 17, 20:28 UTC
• REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Tuition" in Michigan?$0.00May 17, 20:28 UTC
• REDEEMWill Trump say "Sovereign / Sovereignty" in April?$0.00May 17, 20:28 UTC
• REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "ICE" 3+ times in Michigan?$0.00May 17, 20:28 UTC
• REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Moratorium" in Michigan?$0.00May 17, 20:28 UTC
• REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Data Center" in Michigan?$0.00May 17, 20:28 UTC
• REDEEMWill TISZA win <42% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$0.00May 17, 20:28 UTC
• REDEEMWill TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$0.00May 17, 20:28 UTC
• MERGEWill Trump say "Trump Kennedy Center" or "Trump-Kennedy Center" in May?$60.59May 17, 20:27 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$28.31May 17, 19:34 UTC
• TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$42.58May 17, 19:34 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$41.69May 17, 19:33 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?$61.02May 17, 19:32 UTC
• TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$100.99May 17, 19:31 UTC
• TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$217.80May 17, 19:31 UTC

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.