Arid-Fly
0x94746ed6c69bdd5d5711b18d781d3978ef705091
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-108.99
Realised
$201.56
Win rate
69%
142 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
95 shares @ 19.8¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.14
$19.22
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
150 shares @ 11.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$35.25
$18.75
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
101 shares @ 22.9¢·now 31.6¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$31.84
$8.80
- YES
Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
75 shares @ 24.7¢·now 36.5¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$27.38
$8.88
- YES
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?
79 shares @ 10.9¢·now 29.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.42
$14.79
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
86 shares @ 23.6¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.93
$1.65
- YES
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?
86 shares @ 12.3¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$21.46
$10.86
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Oregon in 2026?
75 shares @ 10.7¢·now 28.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.11
$13.08
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 14.5¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$19.50
$5.00
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
100 shares @ 27.1¢·now 19.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$19.50
$-7.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?$1.02May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$0.85May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?$0.03May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?$0.21May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?$0.06May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win a trophy this season?$0.87May 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win a trophy this season?$0.33May 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win a trophy this season?$0.07May 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bradley Barcola be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$0.00May 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Team Heretics qualify for EWC 2026?$0.00May 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 in May?$0.01May 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?$0.00May 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ludovic Ajorque lead Ligue 1 in assists during the 2025-26 season?$0.00May 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Folarin Balogun be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$0.00May 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Emanuel Emegha be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$0.00May 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alfonso López Chau win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?$0.00May 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olivier Giroud be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$0.00May 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wolfgang Grozo win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?$0.00May 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid reach $62 by December 31, 2026?$5.14May 18, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win a trophy this season?$0.82May 18, 05:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 04:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 142 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".