Joyous-Kiosk
0x994bb0d8dad2848bd08d3d5ced9f2f8bd4fc02d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$46.69
Total PnL
$-29.41
Realised
$0.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
40 shares @ 51.8¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.40
$-1.33
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 55.7¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.25
$-2.45
- NO
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.03
$-0.57
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.25
$-0.75
- $3,000
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
5 shares @ 67.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.17
$-0.17
- YES
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
5 shares @ 90.8¢·now 22.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.12
$-3.42
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 8.5¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.45
$0.03
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.27
$-0.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
20 shares @ 82.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.26
$-16.18
- YES
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.22
$-0.78
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?$13.11May 19, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?$6.37May 19, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?$9.56May 19, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMTest Series Bangladesh vs. Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistan - Match goes to Day 4?$21.00May 19, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTest Series Bangladesh vs. Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistan - Match goes to Day 4?$20.96May 19, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.00May 18, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?$0.50May 18, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.30May 18, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.26May 18, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$9.70May 18, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$4.10May 18, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$2.37May 18, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$8.55May 18, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$0.00May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?$0.32May 17, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru$12.00May 17, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$4.58May 17, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru$10.25May 17, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$4.15May 16, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$0.11May 16, 17:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 18:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 12:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".