Lost-Forebear
0xa465a520c557ed253b755581fa1a2abf75936b06
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$787.17
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$63.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1005 shares @ 49.8¢·now 35.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$360.79
$-139.21
- YES
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
873 shares @ 10.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.43
$11.47
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
1177 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$76.53
$-123.47
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1055 shares @ 18.9¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$63.32
$-136.68
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
3333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$48.33
$-51.66
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
537 shares @ 55.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$40.30
$-259.70
- YES
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?
1309 shares @ 7.6¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.27
$-60.64
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
605 shares @ 8.3¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.31
$-26.69
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
910 shares @ 11.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.83
$-88.17
- YES
Will Lee Chul-gyu win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$7.50
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Chul-gyu win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$10.40May 17, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$10.39May 17, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 15?$10.40May 15, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.77May 14, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Leave China on May 16?$10.40May 14, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Leave China on May 14?$10.40May 14, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$10.38May 14, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?$100.00May 11, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$100.00May 11, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1.1KMay 9, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$51.83May 8, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$100.00May 4, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$168.54May 4, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$352.00Apr 18, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$100.00Apr 17, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$500.00Apr 17, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People's Bank of China increase rates in April?$10.00Apr 17, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$100.00Apr 17, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$200.00Apr 17, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?$20.00Apr 17, 16:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $121.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".