Runny-Reservoir
0xbdd11cc911ec8ed95887e56dc253d70cb36b0c4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$-14.1K
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
93%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
3028 shares @ 75.5¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.2K
$-61.33
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
664 shares @ 61.5¢·now 68.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$457.34
$49.11
- YES
Anduril IPO before 2027?
1442 shares @ 21.8¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$194.67
$-119.07
- YES
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1192 shares @ 8.2¢·now 15.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$181.82
$84.12
- YES
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
134 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$129.59
$0.78
- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
401 shares @ 30.6¢·now 26.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$107.86
$-14.65
- NO
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
405 shares @ 31.5¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$103.38
$-24.47
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2029 shares @ 3.2¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$80.15
$15.87
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1220 shares @ 7.1¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$75.02
$-11.65
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
374 shares @ 2.8¢·now 11.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$43.22
$32.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.44May 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.28May 18, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.24May 18, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$6.87May 18, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.42May 18, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$469.91May 18, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.12May 18, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.45May 18, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.16May 18, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.77May 18, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$11.66May 18, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.63May 18, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.13May 18, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.07May 18, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.31May 18, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$25.20May 18, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.20May 18, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.30May 18, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.40May 18, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.50May 18, 00:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $40.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 08:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".