Muffled-Mesenchyme
0xd3a7215ef43cb2f195748cce0edfd3c8234ec2dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$180.29
Total PnL
$-13.84
Realised
$-0.39
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?
19 shares @ 73.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$19.39
$5.14
- YES
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
20 shares @ 79.7¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$17.52
$1.37
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
12 shares @ 80.3¢·now 90.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.72
$1.23
- YES
Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.7B?
10 shares @ 78.2¢·now 97.3¢·exp May 27, 2026$9.40
$1.84
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 73.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.20
$0.76
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 69.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$8.18
$0.85
- YES
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.70
$0.26
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
9 shares @ 79.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.94
$-0.42
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?
10 shares @ 73.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.33
$-3.11
- YES
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.29
$-3.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.11May 18, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta join the US? $1.96May 18, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$1.97May 18, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$2.00May 18, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$9.17May 18, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$1.84May 18, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$8.71May 18, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.7B?$2.39May 18, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the IN-04 House seat?$1.23May 18, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$1.90May 18, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.97May 18, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.97May 18, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$1.97May 18, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$1.91May 18, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$9.77May 18, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?$1.97May 18, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?$2.02May 18, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?$1.99May 18, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons $9.77May 18, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?$2.60May 18, 00:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 21:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 14:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".