Stingy-Parameter
0xda64e97717db5ddf4e90a1dc528b263c346cb94c
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$232.21
Total PnL
$-438.34
Realised
$-24.54
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6663 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$49.97
$-27.31
- YES
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?
521 shares @ 27.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$49.54
$-91.29
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
88 shares @ 40.4¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.32
$-1.26
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
134 shares @ 26.2¢·now 23.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.19
$-3.81
- NO
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
50 shares @ 48.2¢·now 57.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.49
$4.39
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
97 shares @ 31.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$18.87
$-11.13
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
100 shares @ 7.8¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$6.95
$-0.85
- YES
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
68 shares @ 7.3¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?
10 shares @ 64.0¢·now 46.2¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$4.62
$-1.78
- YES
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
450 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.38
$-7.52
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMSabres vs. Canadiens$0.00May 17, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMSabres vs. Canadiens$12.82May 17, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$105.00May 17, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?$0.80May 17, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?$0.85May 17, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?$0.90May 17, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?$0.95May 17, 02:36 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.47May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?$6.88May 17, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$103.71May 16, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$42.85May 16, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?$10.54May 16, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$7.80May 16, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.76May 16, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$14.73May 16, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?$8.58May 16, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$8.96May 16, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$11.53May 16, 20:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $11.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 16:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".