Flippant-Hacienda
0xf03075875e09a399df5ca6ead4a25ce2652527bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$341.72
Total PnL
$324.81
Realised
$116.89
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
700 shares @ 10.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$290.50
$220.50
- YES
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.49
$14.49
- YES
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$12.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump dance on May 18, 2026?
476 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.86
$2.14
- NO
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
1685 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.53
$-25.43
- YES
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 8, 2026?
42 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.34
$0.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?$0.00May 18, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$0.00May 18, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump dance on May 18, 2026?$1.18May 18, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 18, 2026?$0.01May 18, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 18, 2026?$5.99May 18, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$40.00May 18, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$4.93May 18, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$28.00May 18, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$11.07May 18, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$0.52May 18, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$0.94May 18, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$0.92May 18, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$0.37May 18, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$2.40May 16, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$1.00May 16, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?$12.90May 16, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?$0.10May 16, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$98.49May 16, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?$3.23May 15, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$2.96May 15, 08:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $12.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 06:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 15:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".