Devoted-Route
0xf5e47caf8b2e23aa9230d70758bdb2c9747f471a
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
191
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$3.7K
Win rate
100%
82 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 191- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
1208 shares @ 27.8¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$603.98
$268.36
- YES
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
1010 shares @ 16.8¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$303.12
$133.76
- YES
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
402 shares @ 34.4¢·now 56.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$225.20
$86.87
- YES
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
1220 shares @ 21.7¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$158.61
$-106.32
- YES
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?
2327 shares @ 8.4¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$150.07
$-45.70
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
423 shares @ 33.3¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$145.83
$4.84
- YES
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
298 shares @ 16.2¢·now 44.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$131.27
$82.99
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
142 shares @ 45.2¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.22
$52.94
- YES
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
776 shares @ 26.9¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$112.45
$-96.40
- YES
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
201 shares @ 11.7¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.59
$81.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.65May 17, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.19May 17, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.16May 17, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLAndalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?$32.85May 17, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLAndalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?$2.00May 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLAndalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?$9.95May 17, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?$26.45May 17, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$5.15May 17, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$210.00May 17, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$0.32May 17, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$0.42May 17, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$232.00May 17, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$369.70May 17, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$80.12May 17, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$0.09May 17, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$0.49May 17, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.59May 17, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$87.81May 17, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$16.11May 17, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$3.01May 17, 01:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $16.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 20:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 19:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 82 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".