0xfb666a1656a3c9e0bb2cad14252284c7bb5b5e13
0xfb666a1656a3c9e0bb2cad14252284c7bb5b5e13
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$11.6K
Total PnL
$494.97
Realised
$398.79
Win rate
100%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1737 shares @ 79.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$48.12
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1537 shares @ 85.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$29.77
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
1000 shares @ 92.2¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$951.50
$29.50
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$945.00
$5.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1100 shares @ 78.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$753.50
$-114.27
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
869 shares @ 76.1¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$699.52
$38.34
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
500 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$429.99
$5.00
- NO
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
423 shares @ 82.2¢·now 90.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$384.27
$36.58
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
500 shares @ 66.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$330.00
$0.00
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
510 shares @ 59.8¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$313.50
$8.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.07May 18, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$50.00May 18, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$34.80May 18, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?$81.00May 18, 02:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by May 31?$54.13May 17, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$182.00May 17, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$267.00May 17, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$95.00May 17, 06:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$164.00May 16, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$170.00May 16, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$104.00May 16, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$0.04May 16, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$1.08May 16, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$0.57May 16, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$13.30May 16, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$100.01May 16, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$420.51May 16, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$210.00May 16, 07:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $83.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".