Composed-Basin
0x450c8cada5edfad9425818b16295e0978b0829ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$834.30
Total PnL
$-181.24
Realised
$54.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
200 shares @ 86.9¢·now 76.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$153.29
$-20.47
- NO
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
117 shares @ 85.5¢·now 90.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$106.03
$6.03
- YES
Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 31?
103 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$102.42
$2.42
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
105 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$98.21
$-1.79
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
100 shares @ 85.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.50
$6.66
- NO
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$84.16
$-5.48
- YES
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
90 shares @ 89.8¢·now 87.6¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$78.84
$-1.98
- NO
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?
90 shares @ 83.4¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$75.60
$0.50
- NO
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?
40 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.20
$-0.20
- NO
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.05
$-0.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Blackwell" this week?$10.00May 18, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$11.40May 18, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$10.05May 17, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Blackwell" this week?$9.52May 17, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$100.20May 16, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.00May 15, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?$27.00May 15, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?$77.00May 15, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$38.44May 15, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?$15.02May 15, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$32.92May 15, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$37.41May 15, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTakaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 31?$100.13May 15, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$50.32May 14, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$50.52May 14, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?$50.49May 14, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$69.60May 14, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?$264.15May 14, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?$100.58May 14, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Gun" during Chinese State Banquet?$39.44May 14, 17:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $57.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 12:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".