Bogus-Acre
0x91d3f63948bad2a19b8b286e540f07c748b606e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$280.44
Total PnL
$-2.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
82 shares @ 69.4¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$62.55
$5.82
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
60 shares @ 80.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$55.50
$7.50
- YES
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?
69 shares @ 72.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$46.53
$-3.47
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
66 shares @ 61.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$38.69
$-1.31
- NO
Trump kiss by May 31?
28 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.86
$-0.14
- NO
Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?
44 shares @ 54.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$18.26
$-5.50
- NO
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?
20 shares @ 75.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.50
$1.50
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.10
$-6.90
- NO
X banned in any European country by December 31?
10 shares @ 62.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.45
$0.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$22.96May 17, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$1.00May 17, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$1.00May 17, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$1.00May 17, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$1.00May 17, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$1.00May 17, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$1.00May 17, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$1.00May 17, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$1.00May 17, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$1.00May 17, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$1.00May 17, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump kiss by May 31?$23.16May 17, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$20.57May 17, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?$50.56May 17, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLCDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?$91.84May 17, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$40.00May 13, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: April$41.67May 12, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?$12.02May 11, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?$11.74May 11, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$30.30May 11, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $12.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 20:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 12:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".