Courageous-Polish
0xc4d5a24a240ec9f52669e3251e0473fd0c5687cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$16.7K
Total PnL
$7.8K
Realised
$20.7K
Win rate
52%
126 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
2001 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.0K
$12.62
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
1827 shares @ 46.1¢·now 49.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$896.18
$53.64
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?
899 shares @ 97.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$858.83
$-16.75
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
758 shares @ 97.1¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 18, 2026$741.29
$4.70
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
740 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 22, 2026$735.11
$0.86
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
693 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$684.45
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in May 2026?
728 shares @ 92.8¢·now 91.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$663.03
$-12.58
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in May 2026?
691 shares @ 95.9¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$655.89
$-7.07
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
871 shares @ 77.3¢·now 68.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$599.78
$-73.17
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in May 2026?
592 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$589.79
$14.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$24.00May 18, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.93May 18, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$22.50May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$31.68May 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in May 2026?$99.00May 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$4.12May 18, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$144.15May 18, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$146.55May 18, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$24.00May 18, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$7.27May 18, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$15.60May 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$15.60May 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$6.69May 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$24.00May 18, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$145.50May 18, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$4.50May 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$145.50May 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$15.45May 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$15.75May 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$8.62May 18, 06:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $33.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 05:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 126 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".