Intrepid-Eyebrow
0xc5be4c786f92700f1df70cec5ad850491016403b
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$133.71
Total PnL
$-39.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?
17 shares @ 59.4¢·now 88.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.64
$4.80
- NO
Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
12 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$11.61
$8.36
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.21
$5.21
- NO
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?
10 shares @ 50.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$9.78
$4.88
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.17
$3.17
- NO
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?
8 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.93
$4.68
- NO
Trump ballroom project unblocked by May 31?
10 shares @ 33.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.89
$3.64
- NO
Major US official out by May 31?
7 shares @ 43.4¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.25
$3.00
- NO
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.07
$1.07
- NO
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 18 million barrels per day in May?
5 shares @ 60.4¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$4.95
$1.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$3.35May 4, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomania No-Confidence vote passes?$3.30May 4, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?$3.25May 4, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?$3.30May 4, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Riasne by May 31?$3.25May 4, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ballroom project unblocked by May 31?$3.34May 4, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$3.34May 4, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$3.30May 4, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?$3.30May 3, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Gonzales-Torres advance from the CA-34 primary election?$3.35May 3, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$3.41May 3, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?$3.35May 3, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$3.37May 3, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?$3.34May 3, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?$3.35May 2, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYLabour leadership election scheduled by June 30?$3.30May 2, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OPEC crude oil production be above 18 million barrels per day in May?$3.25May 2, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye tweet again by May 31?$3.34May 2, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$3.34May 2, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?$3.41May 2, 21:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 05:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 20:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".